Effects of COVID-19 Status on Hip Fracture Surgical Outcomes: An ACS NSQIP Study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have indicated that patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus fare worse clinically after a traumatic injury, especially those who are older and have other comorbidities. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to understand the effects of Corona Virus Disease 19 (COVID-19) diagnosis on patients undergoing surgery for hip fractures. METHODS: This is a retrospective review of the 2021 American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) Targeted Hip Fracture database for patients who underwent surgery. Two cohorts were formed based on patients' preoperative COVID-19 status, as tested within 14 days prior to the operation. Several clinical factors were compared. RESULTS: The COVID-positive cohort consisted of 184 patients, all of whom had a laboratory-confirmed or clinically suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection, while the COVID-negative cohort consisted of 12,211 patients with no infection. A lower proportion of COVID-positive patients had an emergent operation compared to the COVID-negative cohort (58.70% vs. 73.09%, p < .001). Preoperatively, the COVID-positive cohort showed higher rates of coagulopathy/bleeding disorders (22.83% vs. 14.12%), congestive heart failure (16.30% vs. 9.84%), diabetes mellitus (28.26% vs. 19.24%), and dementia (42.39% vs. 28.07%), with p ≤ .005 for all. Postoperatively, a higher proportion of COVID-positive patients died (9.78% vs. 5.40%) or had pneumonia (8.70% vs. 3.65%), hospital readmission within 30 days (10.87% vs. 6.76%), and pressure sores (8.15% vs. 4.55%), with p ≤ .033 for all. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients was associated with higher rates of postoperative complications, including mortality, when compared to COVID-negative patients, indicating the severity of the viral infection.

Secondary osteoporosis prevention: three-year outcomes from a Fracture Liaison Service in elderly hip fracture patients.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are the most serious fragility fractures due to their associated disability, higher hospitalization costs and high mortality rates. Fracture Liaison Service (FLS) programs have enhanced the management of osteoporosis-related fractures and have shown their clinical effectiveness. AIMS: To analyze the effect of the implementation of a FLS model of care over the survival and mortality rates following a hip fracture. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study on patients over 60 years of age who suffered a hip fracture before and after the implementation of the FLS in our center (between January 2016 and December 2019). Patients were followed for three years after the index date. Mortality, complications and refracture rates were compared between the two groups using a Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: A total of 1366 patients were included in this study (353 before FLS implementation and 1013 after FLS implementation). Anti-osteoporotic drugs were more frequently prescribed after FLS implementation (79.3% vs 12.5%; p < 0.01) and there was an increase in adherence to treatment (51.7% vs 30.2%; p < 0.01). A total of 413 (40.8%) patients after FLS implementation and 141 (39.9%) individuals before (p = 0.47) died during the three-years follow-up period. A second fracture occurred in 101 (10.0%) patients after FLS implementation and 37 (10.5%) individuals before (p = 0.78). Patients after the implementation of the FLS protocol had a lower all cause one-year mortality [adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.74 (0.57-0.94)] and a decreased risk of suffering a second osteoporotic fracture [adjusted HR 0.54 (0.39-0.75) in males and adjusted HR 0.46 (0.30-0.71) in females]. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of a FLS protocol was associated with a lower all-cause one-year mortality rate and a higher survivorship in elderly hip fracture patients. However, no three-year mortality rate differences were observed between the two groups. We also found a reduction in the complication and second-fracture rates.

Investigation of the predictive value of systemic immune inflammation index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on mortality in patients with endoprosthesis after hip fracture.

In this research, we aimed to investigate the predictive value of the systemic immune inflammation index and prognostic nutritional index on mortality among patients with an endoprosthesis after a hip fracture. In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, a total of 915 patient files applied to our hospital between 2020 and 2023 with an endoprosthesis after a hip fracture were subjected to the study. The patients were divided into 2 groups: alive (n = 396; 43.3%) and deceased (n = 519; 56.7%). The eosinophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hemoglobin-to-red cell distribution width ratio (HRR), mean platelet volume-to-platelet ratio (MPVPR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte/lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, MPV-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-eosinophil ratio (MER), neutrophile-to-monocyte ratio, systemic inflammation index (SII), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) parameters of the patients were evaluated. The mortality rate was higher among male patients, with a statistically significant difference (P < .05). The follow-up duration, albumin, HGB, eosinophil, lymphocyte, eosinophil %, eosinophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, HRR, and PNI means were significantly higher in the living group (P < .05). Age, MPV, MPVPR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte/lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, MPV-to-lymphocyte ratio, MER, and systemic inflammation index were significantly higher in the deceased group (P < .05). The predictive value of gender (B = -0.362; P < .01), age (B = 0.036; P < .01), HRR (B = -1.100; P < .01), MPVPR (B = 8.209; P < .01), MER (B = 0.006; P < .01), and PNI (B = -0.078; P < .01) were statistically significant at the multivariate level. The time of death was significantly predicted by gender (B = 0.10; P < .05), age (B = -0.02; P < 0 = 1), HRR (B = 0.61; P < .01), MPVPR (r = -4.16; P < .01), MER (B = -0.01; P < .05), and PNI (B = 0.03; P < .01). The predictive value of PNI for the 30-day mortality rate was statistically significant (AUC: 0.643; P < .01). For a PNI cutoff value of 34.475, sensitivity was 69.7%, and specificity was 51.1%. The PNI has predictive value both in estimating overall mortality and in predicting the 30-day mortality rates among patients undergoing endoprosthesis after a hip fracture.

Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Mortality After Hip Fracture with Machine Learning Techniques.

In order to estimate the likelihood of 1, 3, 6 and 12 month mortality in patients with hip fractures, we applied a variety of machine learning methods using readily available, preoperative data. We used prospectively collected data from a single university hospital in Copenhagen, Denmark for consecutive patients with hip fractures, aged 60 years and older, treated between September 2008 to September 2010 (n = 1186). Preoperative biochemical and anamnestic data were used as predictors and outcome was survival at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the fracture. After feature selection for each timepoint a stratified split was done (70/30) before training and validating Random Forest models, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) and Generalized Linear Models. We evaluated and compared each model using receiver operator characteristic (ROC), calibration slope and intercept, Spiegelhalter's z- test and Decision Curve Analysis. Using combinations of between 10 and 13 anamnestic and biochemical parameters we were able to successfully estimate the likelihood of mortality with an area under the curve on ROC curves of 0.79, 0.80, 0.79 and 0.81 for 1, 3, 6 and 12 month, respectively. The XGB was the overall best calibrated and most promising model. The XGB model most successfully estimated the likelihood of mortality postoperatively. An easy-to-use model could be helpful in perioperative decisions concerning level of care, focused research and information to patients. External validation is necessary before widespread use and is currently underway, an online tool has been developed for educational/experimental purposes ( https://hipfx.shinyapps.io/hipfx/ ).

The Association between Vitamin D Deficiency and the Risk of Mortality after Hip Fractures: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Prevalence of hip fractures is on the rise and is associated with high mortality, especially in aging patients. Vitamin D is routinely recommended for bone health in general population. Our study explores the potential association between low levels (≤20 ng/mL) of vitamin D and mortality in hip fracture patients. Systematic search was done for studies that were published from inception until May 10, 2023, and that report a possible correlation between low vitamin D levels and mortality in patients with hip fractures. A random-effects model was used to assess the effects of normal vitamin D levels on mortality, subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the link between low levels of vitamin D and geographic location of the study and its impact on the recovery process. In 575 identified studies, 18 met the inclusion criteria. A strong connection between low serum levels of vitamin D (<20 ng/mL) and mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 2.29, p<0.001). Further analysis indicated that insufficient (20 to 30 ng/mL) and sufficient (>30 ng/mL) levels of vitamin D levels did not have a significant association with the mortality (HR: 1.10, p=0.12), and (HR: 1.04, p=0.50). As shown by subgroup analysis vitamin D deficiency significantly correlated with mortality in studies conducted in Europe (HR: 2.4). Our results clearly demonstrate that vitamin D deficiency is associated with higher risk of mortality in hip fracture patients. Additional analyses demonstrate that insufficient and sufficient levels of vitamin D were not significantly associated with mortality outcomes in hip fracture patients.

Geriatric nutritional risk index predicts postoperative prognosis in older patients with hip fracture: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hip fracture is common in elderly individuals and is accompanied by a relatively high mortality rate. However, it is currently difficult to accurately predict postoperative prognosis for older patients with hip fractures. The aim of this meta-analysis was to further determine the prognostic value of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) for patients who underwent hip fracture surgery. METHODS: The Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, and CNKI databases were searched up to September 19, 2023, for available studies. The primary and secondary outcomes were the mortality and complication rates, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) and relative risks with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were separately combined to assess the associations between the GNRI and mortality and complication rates. All the statistical analyses were performed with STATA 15.0 and SPSS 22.0 software. RESULTS: A total of 9 studies with 3959 patients were included. The pooled results demonstrated that a lower GNRI was significantly related to an increased risk of postoperative mortality (HR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.72-0.92, P = .001). In addition, the GNRI predicted the risk of overall postoperative complications (52% vs 35.5%, P = .04) and pneumonia (33.3% vs 13.6%, P = .010). CONCLUSION: The GNRI might serve as a novel prognostic indicator for older patients with hip fractures, and a lower GNRI indicates an increased risk of postoperative mortality and complication rates.

Mortality and re-fracture rates in low trauma hip fracture.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to estimate the incidence rate of re-fracture and all-cause mortality rate in patients with hip fractures caused by minor trauma in the first year following the event. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients over 50 years of age conducted in a referral hospital located in Tehran (Shafa-Yahyaian). Using the hospital information system (HIS), all patients hospitalized due to hip fractures caused by minor trauma during 2013-2019 were included in the study. We investigated the occurrence of death and re-fracture in all patients one year after the primary hip fracture. RESULTS: A total of 945 patients with hip fractures during a 307,595 person-days of follow-up, were included. The mean age of the participants was 71 years (SD = 11.19), and 533 (59%) of them were women. One hundred forty-nine deaths were identified during the first year after hip fracture, resulting in a one-year mortality rate of 17.69% (95% CI: 15.06-20.77). The one-year mortality rate was 20.06% in men and 15.88% in women. Out of all the participants, 667 answered the phone call, of which 29 cases had experienced a re-fracture in the first year (incidence rate = 5.03%, 95% CI: 3.50-7.24). The incidence rates in women and men were 6.07% and 3.65%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients with low-trauma hip fractures have shown a high rate of mortality in the first year. Considering the increase in the incidence of hip fractures with age, comprehensive strategies are needed to prevent fractures caused by minor trauma in the elderly population.

Balancing fracture risk versus risk of mortality before fracture among women aged 80 years or older.

BACKGROUND: Most fractures occur in women aged ≥80 years but competing mortality unrelated to fracture may limit the benefit of osteoporosis drug therapy for some women in late life. Our primary aim was to develop separate prediction models for non-spine fracture (NSF) and mortality before fracture to identify subsets of women with varying fracture versus mortality risks. METHODS: Separate prediction models were developed for NSF and mortality before NSF for 4895 women aged ≥80 years enrolled in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF) or the Health Aging and Body Composition (HABC) study. Proportional hazards models modified to account for competing mortality were used to identify candidate risk factors for each outcome. Predictors associated with NSF or mortality (p < 0.2) were included in separate competing risk models to estimate the cumulative incidence of NSF and mortality before NSF during 5 years of follow-up. This process was repeated to develop separate prediction models for hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture. RESULTS: Significant predictors of NSF (race, total hip BMD, grip strength, prior fracture, falls, and use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, benzodiazepines, or oral/transdermal estrogen) differed from predictors of mortality before NSF (age, walking speed, multimorbidity, weight change, shrinking, smoking, self-rated health, dementia, and use of warfarin). Within nine subsets of women defined by tertiles of risk, 5-year outcomes varied from 28% NSF and 8% mortality in the high-risk NSF/low-risk mortality subset, to 9% NSF and 22% mortality in the low-risk NSF/high-risk mortality subset. Similar results were seen for predictors of hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture. CONCLUSION: Considerable variation in 5-year competing mortality risk is present among women in late life with similar 5-year NSF risk. Both fracture risk and life expectancy should inform shared clinical decision-making regarding initiation or continuation of osteoporosis drug therapy for women aged ≥80 years.

Risk prediction models of mortality after hip fracture surgery in older individuals: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to critically assess existing risk prediction models for postoperative mortality in older individuals with hip fractures, with the objective of offering substantive insights for their clinical application. DESIGN: A comprehensive search was conducted across prominent databases, including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, SinoMed, CNKI, VIP, and Wanfang, spanning original articles in both Chinese and English up until 1 December 2023. Two researchers independently extracted pertinent research characteristics, such as predictors, model performance metrics, and modeling methodologies. Additionally, the bias risk and applicability of the incorporated risk prediction models were systematically evaluated using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). RESULTS: Within the purview of this investigation, a total of 21 studies were identified, constituting 21 original risk prediction models. The discriminatory capacity of the included risk prediction models, as denoted by the minimum and maximum areas under the subject operating characteristic curve, ranged from 0.710 to 0.964. Noteworthy predictors, recurrent across various models, included age, sex, comorbidities, and nutritional status. However, among the models assessed through the PROBAST framework, only one was deemed to exhibit a low risk of bias. Beyond this assessment, the principal limitations observed in risk prediction models pertain to deficiencies in data analysis, encompassing insufficient sample size and suboptimal handling of missing data. CONCLUSION: Subsequent research endeavors should adopt more stringent experimental designs and employ advanced statistical methodologies in the construction of risk prediction models. Moreover, large-scale external validation studies are warranted to rigorously assess the generalizability and clinical utility of existing models, thereby enhancing their relevance as valuable clinical references.

Improving morbidity and mortality in hip fragility fractures.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Hip fragility fractures (HFF) carry high morbidity and mortality for patients and will increase in frequency and in proportion to the average patient age. Provision of effective, timely care for these patients can decrease their morbidity and mortality and reduce the large burden they place on the healthcare system. RECENT FINDINGS: There are associative relationships between prefracture frailty, postoperative delirium and increased morbidity and mortality. The use of a multidisciplinary approach to HFF care has shown improved outcomes in care with focus on modifiable factors including admission to specialty care floor, use of peripheral nerve blocks preoperatively and Anesthesia and Physical Therapy involvement in the care team. Peripheral nerve blocks including pericapsular nerve group (PENG) blocks have shown benefit in lowering morbidity and mortality. SUMMARY: HFF are associated with >40% chance of continued pain and inability to return to prefracture functional status at 1 year as well as >30% mortality at 2 years. In this opinion piece, we will discuss how a multidisciplinary approach that includes Anesthesia as well as utilization of peripheral nerve blocks can help to lessen postoperative issues and improve recovery.

Efficacy of surgical intervention over conservative management in intertrochanteric fractures among nonagenarians and centenarians: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Optimal treatment strategy for nonagenarians and centenarians with hip fractures (NCHF) remained unknown. The authors aimed to compare the outcomes of surgical and conservative management in NCHF. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted based on CPMHF database with NCHF patients hospitalized during 2014-2020. Comorbidities were evaluated by mECM score and restricted cubic spline was utilized to visually assess the dose-effect relationship between the mECM and outcomes. Propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics between nonsurgical and surgical groups. Multivariate logistic regression, Cox proportional hazard analysis, and survival analysis were employed for unfavorable outcomes (UFO) evaluation. Competing risk of death were analyzed based on Fine and Gray's hazard model and then constructed nomogram models for predicting survival rates. Subgroup analyses were used to determine potential population heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness of the results. RESULTS: The authors found increasing trends for UFO with the increase in the mECM score, and that high mECM score (HMS, ≥3) was independently associated with a 2.42-fold (95% CI: 2.07-3.54; P =0.024) increased risk of UFO, which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and were more pronounced in nonsurgical treatment, women, no insurance, and patients with spouse (all P for interaction <0.05). Surgical intervention was identified to be significant protective factors for UFO (RR, 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.75; P <0.001) and severe complications (RR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.41-0.96; P =0.033) after propensity score matching, as well as survival (HR, 0.40, 95% CI: 0.28-0.58; P <0.001), which remained significant after considering the competing role of death and in all sensitivity analyses and were more pronounced in HMS participants ( P for interaction=0.006). Subgroup analyses revealed surgical patients with HMS had a significantly higher UFO rate (excluding death, P <0.001) while nonsurgical patients with HMS had higher mortality rate as compared to the others ( P =0.005). CONCLUSION: Surgical treatment for NCHF yields better outcomes compared to conservative treatment.

AtoG: A simple score to predict complications and death after hip fractures, in line with the comprehensive geriatric assessment.

INTRODUCTION: Proximal Femur Fractures (PFFs) are a significant public health issue and occur in the context of global frailty and aging. Recent literature identifies new patient-related prognostic factors that focus on socioeconomic environment, patient well-being, or nutrition status. Specific scores have been developed, but in most cases, they fail to be in line with the comprehensive geriatric assessment, or do not assess the newly identified prognostic factors, contain multitude collinearities, or are too complex to be used in the daily practice. Hypothesis A comprehensive score with equal representation of the patient's dimensions does at least as good as the Charlson score (CCI), to predict complications and mortality. OBJECTIVE: To develop a new comprehensive prognostic score, predicting inpatient complications and mortality up to 5-year after PFF. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The patients treated surgically for PFF on a native hip, between 2005 and 2017 were selected from a French national database. The variables were the gender, age, the type of treatment (osteosynthesis or arthroplasty), and the CCI. The outcomes were the medical and surgical complications as inpatient and the mortality (up to 5-year). Variables were grouped into dimensions with similar clinical significance, using a Principal Component Analysis, for instance, bedsores and malnutrition. The dimensions were tested for 90-day mortality and complications, in regressions models. Two scores were derived from the coefficients: SCOREpond (strict ponderation), and SCORE (with loose ponderation: 1 point/risk factors, -1 point/protective factors). Calibration, discrimination (ROC curves with Area Under Curves AUC), and cross-validation were assessed for SCOREpond, SCORE, and CCI. RESULTS: Analyses were performed on 7756 fractures. The factorial analysis identified seven dimensions: age; brain-related conditions (including dementia): 1738/7756; severe chronic conditions (for instance, organ failures) 914/7756; undernutrition: 764/7756; environment, including social issues or housing difficulties: 659/7756; associated trauma: 814/7756; and gender. The seven dimensions were selected for the prognostic score named AtoG (ABCDEFG, standing for Age, Brain, Comorbidities, unDernutrition, Environment, other Fractures, Gender). The median survival rate was 50.8 months 95% CI [49-53]. Anaemia and urologic complications were the most prevalent medical complications (1674/7756, 21%, and 1109/7756, 14.2%). A total of 149/7756 patients (1.9%) developed a mechanical inpatient complication (fractures or dislocations), with a slightly higher risk for arthroplasties. The AUCs were 0.69, 0.68, and 0.67 for AtoGpond, AtoG, and CCI, respectively, for 90-day mortality, and 0.64, 0.63, and 0.56 for complications. Compared to patients with AtoG=0, Hazard Ratios for 90-day mortality were 2.3 95% CI [1.7-2.9], 4.2 95% CI [3.1-5.4], 6 95% CI [4.5-8.1], 8.3 95% CI [6.5-12.9], and 13.7 95% CI [8-24], from AtoG=1 to AtoG≥5, respectively (p<10-4); the 90-day survival decreased by 5%/point, roughly. The sur-risk of mortality associated with AtoG was up to 5-year: HR=1.51 (95% CI [1.46-1.55], p<10-4). Compared to AtoG=0, from AtoG=1 to AtoG≥5, the pooled Odd Ratios were 1.14 95% CI [1.06-1.2], 1.53 95% CI [1.4-1.7], 2.17 95% CI [1.9-2.4], 2.9 95% CI [2.4-3.4], and 4.9 95% CI [3.3-7.4] for any complication (p<10-4). CONCLUSION: AtoG is a multidimensional score in line with the concept of comprehensive geriatric assessment. It had good discrimination and performance in predicting 90-day mortality and complications. Performances were as good as CCI for 90-day mortality, and better than it for the complications. LEVEL OF PROOF: IV; retrospective cohort study.

Impact of vitamin D deficiency on mortality in patients with hip fracture: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D deficiency has been linked to numerous health issues, including an increased risk of hip fractures. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the relationship between vitamin D deficiency and mortality in patients with hip fracture. To assess the impact of different levels of vitamin D deficiency on mortality in patients with hip fractures and examine the influence of potential confounding factors. METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Cochrane Collaboration Library was conducted, resulting in nine eligible cohort studies (n = 4409). Patients with hip fractures were categorized based on their vitamin D levels as severe, moderate, or insufficient. Mortality was the primary outcome measure in this study. Subgroup analyses were performed according to the follow-up time. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model in Review Manager 5.4. RESULTS: Nine studies, with a pool of 4409 patients, were included. Vitamin D insufficiency was significantly associated with increased mortality (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46; I2 = 4%). Severe deficiency also led to a significant increase in mortality (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.09-3.97; I2 = 42%), whereas moderate deficiency did not show a significant effect (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.79-1.44; I2 = 0%). Subgroup analysis revealed significant associations between vitamin D insufficiency and increased mortality at 1-year (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.06-1.77) and 2-year follow-ups (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.01-3.15). After adjusting for potential confounders, no significant increase in the mortality rate was observed. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis suggests that vitamin D insufficiency and severe deficiency are associated with increased mortality in patients with hip fracture. However, after adjusting for confounding factors, this association was not statistically significant. Further research is necessary to understand the role of vitamin D deficiency in this population.

CRP/albumin ratio in predicting 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery.

OBJECTIVE: In the literature, rates of up to 37.1% have been reported for 1-year mortality after hip fractures. In this study, we aimed to determine whether the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality after hip fracture and whether CAR, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), CRP, albumin level, and other parameters have an effect on mortality and morbidity. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Over a 3-year period, 480 patients aged 65 years and older who underwent hemiarthroplasty for hip fracture were analyzed. A univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors for 1-year mortality. Significant variables were re-evaluated using binary logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The number of patients who died within 1 year postoperatively was 95 (27.7%), and the median age was 85 years. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis (ROC) for 1-year mortality after hip fracture, the optimal cut-off value of CAR was found to be 1.03. The area under the curve (AUC) for mortality was 0.843, the sensitivity was 65.3%, and the specificity was 92.7% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.791-0.895; p < 0.001]. The optimal cut-off value for CRP was 2.85, the AUC was 0.838, the sensitivity was 70%, and the specificity was 89% (95% CI, 0.785-0.890; p < 0.001). The optimal cut-off value of NLR for postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission was determined to be 6.64. CONCLUSIONS: CAR was a predictive factor for 1-year postoperative mortality and postoperative ICU admission, whereas NLR was a predictive factor for postoperative ICU admission.

Menor mortalidad y reingreso en pacientes con pocas comorbilidades intervenidos de fractura de cadera y con alta precoz / Lower mortality and readmission in patients with few comorbidities who underwent hip fracture surgery and were discharged early

Introducción: El retraso preoperatorio en pacientes intervenidos de fractura de cadera (FC) se ha asociado a peores resultados; sin embargo, el momento óptimo del alta hospitalaria tras cirugía ha sido poco estudiado. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar resultados de mortalidad y de reingreso en pacientes con FC con y sin alta hospitalaria precoz. Material y métodos: Se realizó un estudio observacional retrospectivo seleccionando a 607 pacientes mayores de 65años con FC intervenidos entre enero de 2015 y diciembre de 2019, de los que se incluyeron para el análisis 164 pacientes con menos comorbilidades y ASA ≤II y se dividieron según su estancia hospitalaria postoperatoria en alta precoz o estancia ≤4días (n=115) y alta no precoz o estancia postoperatoria >4días (n=49). Se registraron características demográficas; características relacionadas con la fractura y el tratamiento quirúrgico; tasas de mortalidad a los 30días y al año postoperatorio; tasa de reingreso hospitalario a los 30días postoperatorios, y causa médica o quirúrgica. Resultados: En el grupo alta precoz todos los resultados fueron mejores frente al grupo no alta precoz: menor tasa de mortalidad a los 30días postoperatorios (0,9% frente al 4,1%, p=0,16) y al año postoperatorio (4,3% frente al 16,3%, p=0,009), así como una menor tasa de reingreso hospitalario por razones médicas (7,8% frente al 16,3%, p=0,037). Conclusiones: En el presente estudio el grupo de alta precoz obtiene mejores resultados en indicadores de mortalidad a los 30días y al año postoperatorio, así como de reingreso por causas médicas.(AU)

Introduction: Preoperative delay in patients with hip fracture surgery (HF) has been associated with poorer outcomes; however, the optimal timing of discharge from hospital after surgery has been little studied. The aim of this study was to determine mortality and readmission outcomes in HF patients with and without early hospital discharge. Material and methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted selecting 607 patients over 65years of age with HF intervened between January 2015 and December 2019, from which 164 patients with fewer comorbidities and ASA ≤II were included for analysis and divided according to their postoperative hospital stay into early discharge or stay ≤4 days (n=115), and non-early or post-operative stay >4days (n=49). Demographic characteristics; fracture and surgical-related characteristics; 30-day and one-year postoperative mortality rates; 30-day postoperative hospital readmission rate; and medical or surgical cause were recorded. Results: In the early discharge group all outcomes were better compared to the non-early discharge group: lower 30-day (0.9% vs 4.1%, P=.16) and 1-year postoperative (4.3% vs 16.3%, P=.009) mortality rates, as well as a lower rate of hospital readmission for medical reasons (7.8% vs 16.3%, P=.037). Conclusions: In the present study, the early discharge group obtained better results 30-day and 1-year postoperative mortality indicators, as well as readmission for medical reasons.(AU)

[Translated article] Lower mortality and readmission in patients with few comorbidities who underwent hip fracture surgery and were discharged early / Menor mortalidad y reingreso en pacientes con pocas comorbilidades intervenidos de fractura de cadera y con alta precoz

Introducción: El retraso preoperatorio en pacientes intervenidos de fractura de cadera (FC) se ha asociado a peores resultados; sin embargo, el momento óptimo del alta hospitalaria tras cirugía ha sido poco estudiado. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar resultados de mortalidad y de reingreso en pacientes con FC con y sin alta hospitalaria precoz. Material y métodos: Se realizó un estudio observacional retrospectivo seleccionando a 607 pacientes mayores de 65años con FC intervenidos entre enero de 2015 y diciembre de 2019, de los que se incluyeron para el análisis 164 pacientes con menos comorbilidades y ASA ≤II y se dividieron según su estancia hospitalaria postoperatoria en alta precoz o estancia ≤4días (n=115) y alta no precoz o estancia postoperatoria >4días (n=49). Se registraron características demográficas; características relacionadas con la fractura y el tratamiento quirúrgico; tasas de mortalidad a los 30días y al año postoperatorio; tasa de reingreso hospitalario a los 30días postoperatorios, y causa médica o quirúrgica. Resultados: En el grupo alta precoz todos los resultados fueron mejores frente al grupo no alta precoz: menor tasa de mortalidad a los 30días postoperatorios (0,9% frente al 4,1%, p=0,16) y al año postoperatorio (4,3% frente al 16,3%, p=0,009), así como una menor tasa de reingreso hospitalario por razones médicas (7,8% frente al 16,3%, p=0,037). Conclusiones: En el presente estudio el grupo de alta precoz obtiene mejores resultados en indicadores de mortalidad a los 30días y al año postoperatorio, así como de reingreso por causas médicas.(AU)

Introduction: Preoperative delay in patients with hip fracture surgery (HF) has been associated with poorer outcomes; however, the optimal timing of discharge from hospital after surgery has been little studied. The aim of this study was to determine mortality and readmission outcomes in HF patients with and without early hospital discharge. Material and methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted selecting 607 patients over 65years of age with HF intervened between January 2015 and December 2019, from which 164 patients with fewer comorbidities and ASA ≤II were included for analysis and divided according to their postoperative hospital stay into early discharge or stay ≤4 days (n=115), and non-early or post-operative stay >4days (n=49). Demographic characteristics; fracture and surgical-related characteristics; 30-day and one-year postoperative mortality rates; 30-day postoperative hospital readmission rate; and medical or surgical cause were recorded. Results: In the early discharge group all outcomes were better compared to the non-early discharge group: lower 30-day (0.9% vs 4.1%, P=.16) and 1-year postoperative (4.3% vs 16.3%, P=.009) mortality rates, as well as a lower rate of hospital readmission for medical reasons (7.8% vs 16.3%, P=.037). Conclusions: In the present study, the early discharge group obtained better results 30-day and 1-year postoperative mortality indicators, as well as readmission for medical reasons.(AU)

Excess mortality in elderly hip fracture patients: An Indian experience.

PURPOSE: Hip fractures in elderly have a high mortality. However, there is limited literature on the excess mortality seen in hip fractures compared to the normal population. The purpose of this study was to compare the mortality of hip fractures with that of age and gender matched Indian population. METHODS: There are 283 patients with hip fractures aged above 50 years admitted at single centre prospectively enrolled in this study. Patients were followed up for 1 year and the follow-up record was available for 279 patients. Mortality was assessed during the follow-up from chart review and/or by telephonic interview. One-year mortality of Indian population was obtained from public databases. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) (observed mortality divided by expected mortality) was calculated. Kaplan-Meir analysis was used. RESULTS: The overall 1-year mortality was 19.0% (53/279). Mortality increased with age (p < 0.001) and the highest mortality was seen in those above 80 years (aged 50 - 59 years: 5.0%, aged 60 - 69 years: 19.7%, aged 70 - 79 years: 15.8%, and aged over 80 years: 33.3%). Expected mortality of Indian population of similar age and gender profile was 3.7%, giving a SMR of 5.5. SMR for different age quintiles were: 3.9 (aged 50 - 59 years), 6.6 (aged 60 - 69 years), 2.2 (aged 70 - 79 years); and 2.0 (aged over 80 years). SMR in males and females were 5.7 and 5.3, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Indian patients sustaining hip fractures were about 5 times more likely to die than the general population. Although mortality rates increased with age, the highest excess mortality was seen in relatively younger patients. Hip fracture mortality was even higher than that of myocardial infarction, breast cancer, and cervical cancer.

Mortality following fragility hip fracture in China: a record linkage study.

Mortality risk declined over time. Patients with fragility hip fracture experienced an approximate ninefold excess mortality, peaking shortly after fracture, in comparison with that of the general population. Continuous efforts in lowering the occurrence of hip fracture have the potential to improve the survival of the elderly population in China. PURPOSE: Hip fractures in older adults often lead to an elevated risk of death. However, few studies investigated mortality risk following hip fracture in mainland China. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the crude mortality and excess mortality after fragility hip fractures in Lishui residents aged 50 years and older. METHODS: Patients having a fragility hip fracture between October 2013 and August 2019 were identified from the Lishui District Inpatient Data Collection and followed up until August 2020. Death information was ascertained from the linked death registry records. We calculated the follow-up mortality rate and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as well as the standard mortality ratios (SMRs) in comparison with the mortality rates of Lishui residents. RESULTS: During the study period, a total of 808 patients (63.4% females) with an average age of 75 years were admitted for fragility hip fractures. The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd year follow-up mortality rates were 16.51, 6.06, and 5.03 per 100 person-year, respectively. The SMRs were 8.46 (6.94, 9.97), 5.74 (4.86, 6.63), and 4.63 (3.98, 5.27) for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd year following fragility hip fracture. CONCLUSION: Although mortality risk declined over time, patients with fragility hip fracture experienced an approximate ninefold excess mortality, peaking shortly after fracture, in comparison with that of the general population. Continuous efforts in lowering the occurrence of hip fracture have the potential to improve the survival of the elderly population in China.

The modified lymphocyte C-reactive protein score is a promising indicator for predicting 3-year mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are common in elderly patients, and almost all the patients undergo surgery. This study aimed to develop a novel modified lymphocyte C-reactive protein (CRP) score (mLCS) to simply and conveniently predict 3-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing intertrochanteric fracture surgery. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on elderly patients who underwent intertrochanteric fracture surgery between January 2014 and December 2017. The mLCS was developed according to the value of CRP and lymphocyte counts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for 3-year mortality after surgery. The performances of the lymphocyte CRP score (LCS) and mLCS to predict 3-year mortality were then compared using C-statistics, decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: A total of 291 patients were enrolled, of whom 52 (17.9%) died within 3 years after surgery. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, mLCS (hazard ratio (HR), 5.415; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.743-16.822; P = 0.003) was significantly associated with postoperative 3-year mortality. The C-statistics of LCS and mLCS for predicting 3-year mortality were 0.644 and 0.686, respectively. The NRI (mLCS vs. LCS, 0.018) and IDI (mLCS vs. LCS, 0.017) indicated that the mLCS performed better than the LCS. DCA also showed that mLCS had a higher clinical net benefit. CONCLUSIONS: mLCS is a promising predictor that can simply and conveniently predict 3-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing intertrochanteric fracture surgery.